The Premier League is on fire and Arsenal, which is the great candidate for glory, confirmed its rise with a great victory against Liam Rosenior’s Chelsea. For its part, City beat Leeds fairly at Elland Road.
In the Opta supercomputer exercise, the winner of the trophy at the end of the season would be Arsenal with 82.65 expected points, followed by Manchester City with 77.28. Third would be Aston Villa with 67.09 units, while Manchester United would be fourth with 65.66.

Liverpool, Chelsea, Brentford, Bournemouth, Fulham and Everton complete the season’s top 10.
|
Position |
Club |
Current points |
Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1° |
Arsenal |
64 |
82.69 |
|
2° |
Manchester City |
59 |
77.31 |
|
3° |
Aston Villa |
51 |
67.18 |
|
4° |
Manchester United |
51 |
65.79 |
|
5° |
Liverpool |
48 |
65.27 |
|
6° |
Chelsea |
45 |
60.38 |
|
7° |
Brentford |
43 |
57.36 |
|
8° |
Fulham |
40 |
53.22 |
|
9° |
Everton |
40 |
52.66 |
|
10° |
Bournemouth |
39 |
52.58 |
|
11° |
Brighton |
37 |
51.22 |
|
12° |
Newcastle |
36 |
50.47 |
|
13° |
Sunderland |
37 |
48.13 |
|
14° |
Crystal Palace |
35 |
46.63 |
|
15° |
Leeds |
31 |
44.12 |
|
16° |
Tottenham |
29 |
42.05 |
|
17° |
Nottingham Forest |
27 |
38.26 |
|
18° |
West Ham |
25 |
35.12 |
|
19° |
Burnley |
19 |
27.83 |
|
20° |
Wolves |
13 |
22.09 |
According to Opta’s hypothetical AI exercise, the three that would lose the category would be West Ham, Burnley and Wolverhampton, with Nottingham Forest narrowly escaping. The Wolves managed to break Derby County’s record and will not be the worst team in the history of the Premier League by surpassing the 11-point line.
Both Chelsea and Liverpool would be on the verge of entering the UEFA Champions League by standings, although they could enter if an English club wins this competition or the UEFA Europa League. Manchester United would finish nowhere near the podium and make an incredible return to the top European club competition.
Currently, Arsenal is the leader of the standings with 64 points, surpassing Manchester City by five points at the end of matchday 28 of the competition, although the Gunners have one more game ahead of matchday 31, which they played against Wolves.
On the next day, Mikel Arteta’s men will visit Brighton in Falmer and Guardiola’s men will host Nottingham Forest, complicated in the fight for permanence.

Arsenal have not won the Premier League since the 2003/04 season under Arséne Wenger, in the team called “The Invincibles”. On that occasion, they scored 90 points, beating Chelsea by eleven points.