April 5, 2026
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The Premier League is on fire and Arsenal, which is the great candidate for glory, managed to recover after two draws that scared more than one in an Emirates Stadium that dreams of lifting the English league trophy.

In the Opta supercomputer exercise, the winner of the trophy at the end of the season would be Arsenal with 81.50 expected points, followed by Manchester City with 75.82. Third would be Aston Villa with 69.59 units, while Chelsea would be fourth with 61.05.

Crystal Palace v Liverpool - 2025 FA Community Shield

Crystal Palace v Liverpool – 2025 FA Community Shield | Michael Regan – The FA/GettyImages

Manchester United, Liverpool, Brentford, Bournemouth, Fulham and Everton complete the season’s top 10.

Position

Club

Current points

Expected points

Arsenal

61

81.50

Manchester City

56

75.82

Aston Villa

51

69.59

Chelsea

45

61.05

Manchester United

45

62.39

Liverpool

45

64.34

Brentford

40

55.99

Bournemouth

38

53.61

Everton

37

51.85

10°

Fulham

37

51.14

11°

Newcastle

36

52.69

12°

Fulham

37

51.62

13°

Brighton

34

49.88

14°

Sunderland

36

47.70

15°

Leeds

31

45.23

16°

Tottenham

29

43.53

17°

Nottingham Forest

27

39.78

18°

West Ham

25

35.90

19°

Burnley

19

29.12

20°

Wolves

10

19.53

According to Opta’s hypothetical AI exercise, the three that would lose the category would be West Ham, Burnley and Wolverhampton, with Nottingham Forest narrowly escaping. If the artificial intelligence prediction is true, the Wolves would be saved from breaking Derby County’s negative record for the fewest points in a season (11), a mark that they could have equaled on this day if it had not been for Crystal Palace’s agonizing goal.

Both Manchester United and Liverpool would be on the verge of entering the UEFA Champions League by standings, although they could enter if an English club wins this competition or the UEFA Europa League.

Currently, Arsenal is the leader of the standings with 61 points, surpassing Manchester City by five points at the end of matchday 27 of the competition, although the Gunners have one more game ahead of matchday 31, which they played against Wolves.

On the next matchday, Mikel Arteta’s men will host Chelsea at the Emirates Stadium and Guardiola’s men will visit Elland Road to face Leeds.

Hugo Bueno

The Wolves, the most complicated | Andrew Kearns – CameraSport/GettyImages

Arsenal have not won the Premier League since the 2003/04 season under Arséne Wenger, in the team called “The Invincibles.” On that occasion, they scored 90 points, beating Chelsea by eleven points.


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