The Supercomputer leaves the door open for the ‘European miracle’ of Barcelona and Real Madrid

With all the first leg matches of these Champions League quarter-finals concluded, European football enters its most decisive week in six days and, as almost always, the focus on Spain points to two proper names: FC Barcelona and Real Madrid. However, in this case both face scenarios in those who are forced to row against the current if they want to stay alive and reach the semifinals.

The blow of Atlético de Madrid (0-2 in the first leg) It completely changes the initial panorama raised at the beginning of the tie. And here comes the key data: before the first match, the supercomputer gave Barça a 68.29% chance of winning the duel compared to only 31.71 for Atleti.

With the current disadvantage, that favoritism has evaporated and the comeback becomes a much more complex mission. The red and white team has a 79.98% to go to the semi-finals, while Barcelona 20.02%.

Even so, the culés would have an argument to cling to: If the model already saw Barça as superior under normal conditionsthe predictions do not close the tie, although it requires an extreme context: early goal, high pace and zero concessions.

The rest, behind

The results of the first leg have left everything open for the return, but the goal difference is so small that, at this stage of the competition, anything can happen.
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​Although PSG was absolutely superior to Liverpool, the English at Anfield are capable of anything. But Opta gives you a 15.34% going to semis. The same thing happens with Real Madrid: from yesterday to today, they have risen half a point. From 12.52% to 13.08% that it has at the moment, according to the latest update of the Supercomputer.
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The one who would have the least options would be Sporting CP, who obtains 8.36% to accomplish the feat of beating the Arsenal in London.